银行理财收益迎来“小阳春”

风刀霜剑

　　春节过后，居民手头闲散资金较多，正是规划一年投资理财的好时期。最新统计显示，1月份银行理财产品平均预期收益率为4.1%，比前期上升0.11个百分点。业内人士表示，预计一季度银行理财收益将逐渐走稳，风险偏好较低的投资者可以抓住一季度理财收益率位于高点的时机，配置银行理财产品。 实习生 金雨濛
　　扬子晚报记者 李冲
　　承接去年末“翘尾效应”，1月银行理财平均收益4.1%
　　随着互联网金融的发展，理财市场竞争日趋激烈，银行理财产品吸引力略有下降，然而，凭借风险较低、稳定性高的特点，银行理财对于中老年投资者来说，依然是不可或缺的选择。
　　普益标准最新公布的数据显示，1月，422家银行共发行8003款银行理财产品(包括封闭式预期收益型、开放式预期收益型、净值型产品)，发行银行数比上期增加14家，产品发行量减少1116款。其中，封闭式预期收益型人民币产品平均收益率为4.1%，较上期上升0.11个百分点。
　　而据wind数据统计，上周已公布预期年化收益率的2092款产品平均收益率为4.17%，与此前一周相比上升0.01个百分点。
　　普益标准研究员陈丽君认为，此番行情主要是承接2016年末银行理财的“翘尾效应”，加上年关前后市场间资金一般都比较紧张，流动性边际趋紧，促使收益率上涨。
　　同时，从发行银行类型来看，1月各发行主体收益率变化趋势一致，均呈现全面上升态势，但各期限预期年化收益率最高的理财产品多来自中小型银行，不同类型银行发行的产品之间平均收益率差异不大，城商行的产品在收益率上略高于其他类型银行，股份制商业银行与城商行之间的差距在缩小。从收益类型来看，高预期年化收益类型多属于非保本浮动型及保本固定型。
　　中长期理财产品受追捧，投资者可择机锁定高收益
　　记者从银行理财经理方面了解到，中长期的理财产品受到客户追捧，近期投资者较为青睐的理财产品包括三个月和半年期的理财，一方面该类产品的期限相对灵活，在有适宜的其它投资机会时可以自由使用资金;另外一方面，由于长短期收益率倒挂，目前一年期的产品基本收益也比三个月和半年期的稍低一些。
　　银行业内人士表示，一季度是各大银行开门红冲刺业绩的时间，而且春节后居民手头闲散资金较多，因而银行一季度银行理财仍有可能出现走高的行情。这种现象在各家股份制银行会表现得更加明显，风险偏好较低的投资者可以抓住一季度理财收益率位于高点的时机，选择半年期以上的产品进行配置，提前锁定高收益。
　　同时，银行理财经理表示，2017年，货币政策将重回中性稳健，去杠杆和防风险将是主要目标，流动性将适度保持。而今年财政政策将成为稳增长的主要推动力，货币政策向财政政策的转向，重点指向资金“脱虚入实”。在这样的情况下，一季度银行理财产品收益率将会维持当前水平。
　　1月份CPI、PPI数据均超预期，当月PPI更是同比增长6.9%，创5年新高，中国经济迎来开门红。有分析认为，当经济于良好的轨道运行时，考虑通胀压力等因素，央行采取进一步宽松的货币政策可能性会减少。在这样的市场情况下，之前银行理财产品单向的收益率下滑预期会画上句号，预期理财产品收益将维持稳定。
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